Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Mets 2
Friday, July 10, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
43-48 Rating 1513
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.1
Mets
40-54 Rating 1484
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Mets
All-time wins 28 23
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 3.8
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Mets
Games played 91 94
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.2
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.8
Win percentage 47% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 46%