Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Mets 0
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Red Sox @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 29 | 23 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 2 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 92 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 45% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ New York Mets
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Los Angeles Angels
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
Mets
vs Boston Red Sox
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 28
12-16
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 19
10-9
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 17
3-14
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0