Final Score: Mets 6 - Phillies 1
Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
41-58 Rating 1479
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
55-44 Rating 1552
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 497 482
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 99 99
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 41% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 54%