Final Score: Yankees 1 - Phillies 0
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Yankees @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
57-45 Rating 1547
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Phillies
56-47 Rating 1547
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Phillies
All-time wins 29 24
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 5.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Phillies
Games played 102 103
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.5
Win percentage 56% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 52%