Final Score: Yankees 12 - Rays 4
Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Yankees @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 276 | 213 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 3 |
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 92 | 90 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 72% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Rays
vs New York Yankees
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs New York Yankees
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 18
8-10
@ Houston Astros
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1