Final Score: Twins 11 - Yankees 4
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Twins @ Yankees
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Twins | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 202 | 338 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 5.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Twins | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 89 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 56% |
Recent Results
Twins
@ New York Yankees
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Houston Astros
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Houston Astros
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Colorado Rockies
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
vs Colorado Rockies
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 15
3-12
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Yankees
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3