Final Score: Twins 2 - Yankees 5
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Twins @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
42-46 Rating 1468
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +1.0
Yankees
48-38 Rating 1546
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Yankees
All-time wins 202 337
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 5.2
Last meeting 5 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Yankees
Games played 88 86
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.8
Win percentage 48% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 55%