Final Score: Twins 4 - Astros 6
Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Twins @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Twins
41-45 Rating 1467
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.7
Astros
42-45 Rating 1514
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Twins Astros
All-time wins 48 57
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 5.1
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Twins Astros
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.2 5.0
Win percentage 48% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 48%