Final Score: Rays 8 - Astros 10
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Rays @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rays | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 55 | 49 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Rays | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 85 | 90 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 47% |
Recent Results
Rays
@ Houston Astros
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 15
13-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
Astros
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7