Final Score: Yankees 4 - Rays 6
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Yankees @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 276 | 211 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 1 |
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 90 | 88 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 70% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Detroit Tigers
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
Rays
vs New York Yankees
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 18
8-10
@ Houston Astros
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1