Final Score: Yankees 0 - Rays 3
Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
50-41 Rating 1542
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.0
Rays
53-36 Rating 1523
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 276 212
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 91 89
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 55% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 71%