Final Score: Yankees 4 - Phillies 11
Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Yankees @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
59-45 Rating 1551
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Phillies
56-49 Rating 1543
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Phillies
All-time wins 31 24
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.9
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Phillies
Games played 104 105
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.8 4.4
Win percentage 57% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 50%