Final Score: Phillies 7 - Marlins 8
Monday, July 27, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
57-49 Rating 1545
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
52-54 Rating 1486
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 302 248
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 4 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 106 106
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.4
Win percentage 54% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 57%