Final Score: Guardians 5 - Marlins 2
Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Guardians @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
50-46 Rating 1520
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.0
Marlins
52-44 Rating 1504
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Marlins
All-time wins 21 19
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 3.8
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Marlins
Games played 96 96
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.3
Win percentage 52% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 62%