Final Score: Marlins 3 - Rockies 6
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
46-40 Rating 1501
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.9
Rockies
33-53 Rating 1392
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rockies
All-time wins 132 116
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.0 5.0
Last meeting 14 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rockies
Games played 86 86
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.8
Win percentage 53% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 43%