Final Score: Guardians 5 - Twins 2
Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Guardians @ Twins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
47-46 Rating 1514
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.2
Twins
46-47 Rating 1476
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Twins
All-time wins 426 393
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.7 4.4
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Twins
Games played 93 93
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.1
Win percentage 51% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 51%