Final Score: Guardians 3 - Marlins 2
Friday, July 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Guardians @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
48-46 Rating 1516
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
52-42 Rating 1508
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Marlins
All-time wins 19 19
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 3.9
Last meeting 9 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Marlins
Games played 94 94
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.3
Win percentage 51% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 65%