Final Score: Marlins 12 - Athletics 5
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Athletics

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
46-42 Rating 1496
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Athletics
41-46 Rating 1469
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Athletics
All-time wins 15 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.3 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Athletics
Games played 88 87
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.3
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 43%