Final Score: Marlins 7 - Athletics 2
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Athletics

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
47-42 Rating 1498
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Athletics
41-47 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Athletics
All-time wins 16 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.5 4.4
Last meeting 12 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Athletics
Games played 89 88
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.4
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 42%