Final Score: Guardians 4 - Marlins 1
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Guardians @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Guardians | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 20 | 19 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Guardians | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 63% |
Recent Results
Guardians
@ Miami Marlins
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Texas Rangers
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
Marlins
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Athletics
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Athletics
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Athletics
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 18
4-14
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 17
14-3