Final Score: Mariners 5 - Marlins 6
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Mariners @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 14 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 6 |
| Stat | Mariners | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 91 | 91 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 62% |
Recent Results
Mariners
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Marlins
@ Athletics
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
@ Athletics
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Athletics
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 18
4-14
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 17
14-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0