Final Score: Padres 4 - Marlins 2
Friday, July 24, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Padres @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 121 | 108 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Padres | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 103 | 103 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 61% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 21
19-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
Marlins
@ Houston Astros
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Houston Astros
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4