Final Score: Padres 2 - Braves 3
Monday, July 20, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET

Padres @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
49-50 Rating 1520
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.3
Braves
57-41 Rating 1527
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Braves
All-time wins 306 373
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Braves
Games played 99 98
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.9
Win percentage 49% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 60%