Final Score: Braves 4 - Pirates 12
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
Braves @ Pirates
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Braves | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 280 | 256 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Braves | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 89 | 91 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 51% |
Recent Results
Braves
vs New York Mets
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs New York Mets
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 19
9-10
vs New York Mets
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 17
14-3
vs New York Mets
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ San Francisco Giants
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
Pirates
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 18
11-7
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Cincinnati Reds
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6