Final Score: Pirates 0 - Nationals 0
Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
35-34 Rating 1480
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
35-34 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 346 321
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 7 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 69 69
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.3
Win percentage 51% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 38%