Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Padres 5
Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 15 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 8 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 95 | 95 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 49% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 52% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ San Francisco Giants
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
@ Seattle Mariners
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs New York Mets
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs New York Mets
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
Padres
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12