Final Score: Diamondbacks 3 - Padres 1
Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 249 | 236 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 10 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 92 | 92 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 53% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ San Diego Padres
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs San Francisco Giants
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs San Francisco Giants
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs San Francisco Giants
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Padres
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 26
3-23
@ Chicago Cubs
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Chicago Cubs
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3