Final Score: Padres 3 - Cubs 23
Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Padres @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 244 | 293 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.0 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 9 |
| Stat | Padres | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 84 | 86 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 60% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Chicago Cubs
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Chicago Cubs
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 18
3-15
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Texas Rangers
Jun 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Texas Rangers
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
Cubs
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Mets
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ New York Mets
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
@ New York Mets
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 20, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8