Final Score: Padres 2 - Cubs 3
Monday, June 29, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Padres @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
43-39 Rating 1529
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Cubs
46-38 Rating 1530
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cubs
All-time wins 244 291
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cubs
Games played 82 84
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 52% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 57%