Final Score: Padres 7 - Cubs 9
Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Padres @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
43-40 Rating 1528
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Cubs
47-38 Rating 1531
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Cubs
All-time wins 244 292
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.0 4.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Cubs
Games played 83 85
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 52% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 59%