Final Score: Brewers 3 - Diamondbacks 4
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Brewers @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Brewers
54-32 Rating 1570
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.4
Diamondbacks
43-44 Rating 1501
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Diamondbacks
All-time wins 102 95
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.3
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Diamondbacks
Games played 86 87
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.6
Win percentage 63% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 58%