Final Score: Padres 3 - Dodgers 4
Friday, July 3, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET
Padres @ Dodgers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 438 | 544 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 12 |
| Stat | Padres | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 86 | 88 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 65% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 66% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -20 · Total: 26
3-23
@ Chicago Cubs
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
@ Chicago Cubs
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 18
3-15
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Dodgers
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 19
12-7
@ Athletics
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Athletics
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Athletics
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 13
9-4
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 18
15-3
@ San Diego Padres
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Minnesota Twins
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3
@ Minnesota Twins
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1