Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Padres 10
Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
45-46 Rating 1501
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
45-46 Rating 1521
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Padres
All-time wins 249 235
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Padres
Games played 91 91
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.4
Win percentage 49% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 52%