Final Score: Padres 8 - Braves 3
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Padres @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 306 | 374 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Padres | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 100 | 99 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 61% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 21
19-2
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Braves
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Texas Rangers
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 16
15-1
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 16
4-12