Final Score: Padres 1 - Royals 6
Saturday, July 18, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
Padres @ Royals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 12 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 7 |
| Stat | Padres | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 97 | 98 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 46% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Kansas City Royals
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
Royals
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ New York Mets
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ New York Mets
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 28
16-12
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 16
15-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6