Final Score: Royals 3 - Orioles 5
Friday, July 10, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Royals @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Royals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 238 | 296 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 8 |
| Stat | Royals | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 94 | 94 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 50% |
Recent Results
Royals
@ New York Mets
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ New York Mets
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 28
16-12
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +14 · Total: 16
15-1
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Chicago White Sox
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
Orioles
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6