Final Score: Cubs 9 - Orioles 7
Wednesday, July 8, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET

Cubs @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
51-40 Rating 1534
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.3
Orioles
42-50 Rating 1489
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Orioles
All-time wins 18 8
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 3.6
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Orioles
Games played 91 92
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.9
Win percentage 56% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 50%