Final Score: Cardinals 3 - Cubs 0
Saturday, July 4, 2026 at 8:08 PM ET
Cardinals @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 479 | 468 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 17 | 1 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 85 | 88 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 59% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ Chicago Cubs
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 18
17-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 16
11-5
@ Atlanta Braves
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Miami Marlins
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 23, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jun 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Cubs
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 18
1-17
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ New York Mets
Jun 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Mets
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ New York Mets
Jun 24, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3