Final Score: Cubs 2 - Orioles 3
Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Cubs @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cubs | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 19 | 8 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 7 |
| Stat | Cubs | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 92 | 93 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 49% |
Recent Results
Cubs
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 18
1-17
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 26
23-3
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
Orioles
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4