Final Score: Royals 1 - Orioles 6
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Royals @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
38-57 Rating 1463
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.5
Orioles
44-51 Rating 1491
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Orioles
All-time wins 238 297
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.6
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Orioles
Games played 95 95
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.9
Win percentage 40% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 51%