Final Score: Marlins 3 - Astros 5
Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Marlins @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Marlins | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 82 | 91 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 8 |
| Stat | Marlins | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 101 | 102 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 47% |
Recent Results
Marlins
@ Houston Astros
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
Astros
vs Miami Marlins
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 23
11-12