Final Score: Astros 3 - Rangers 7
Friday, July 10, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
46-49 Rating 1512
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Texas Rangers +0.1
Rangers
47-46 Rating 1502
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Rangers
All-time wins 154 152
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Rangers
Games played 95 93
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.3
Win percentage 48% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 51%