Final Score: Astros 9 - Rangers 3
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Astros @ Rangers
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 154 | 153 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 7 |
| Stat | Astros | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 96 | 94 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 52% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 23
11-12
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Rangers
vs Houston Astros
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 14
1-13
vs Los Angeles Angels
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Detroit Tigers
Jul 2, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3