Final Score: Astros 6 - Nationals 3
Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Astros @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 254 | 217 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 11 | 12 |
| Stat | Astros | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 93 | 92 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 5.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 41% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 23
11-12
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Minnesota Twins
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Detroit Tigers
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
Nationals
vs Houston Astros
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 23
12-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 14
9-5
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jun 26, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3