Final Score: Orioles 3 - Astros 2
Friday, July 17, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 39 | 52 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 11 |
| Stat | Orioles | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 97 | 98 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| Win percentage | 47% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 49% |
Recent Results
Orioles
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
Astros
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Texas Rangers
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 6, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 23
11-12
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Minnesota Twins
Jul 1, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8