Final Score: Orioles 5 - Red Sox 6
Monday, July 20, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Red Sox
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 396 | 489 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 2 |
| Stat | Orioles | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 100 | 98 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 44% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Houston Astros
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Houston Astros
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Kansas City Royals
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 16
7-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jul 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
Red Sox
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
Jul 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ New York Mets
Jul 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Chicago White Sox
Jul 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 9
8-1