Final Score: Rays 1 - Red Sox 6
Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Rays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
56-41 Rating 1519
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Red Sox
49-48 Rating 1524
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Red Sox
All-time wins 233 270
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.8
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Red Sox
Games played 97 97
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.8
Win percentage 58% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 43%