Final Score: Nationals 0 - Phillies 0
Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
35-34 Rating 1465
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
Phillies
37-31 Rating 1550
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 462 507
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 69 68
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.3
Win percentage 51% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 53%