Final Score: Blue Jays 6 - Nationals 8
Tuesday, July 28, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Nationals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 48 | 37 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 107 | 107 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 40% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Washington Nationals
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Boston Red Sox
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Chicago White Sox
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Nationals
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Jul 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 22, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Colorado Rockies
Jul 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Athletics
Jul 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Athletics
Jul 18, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Athletics
Jul 17, 2026 · Margin: +19 · Total: 27
23-4