Final Score: Blue Jays 1 - Red Sox 6
Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
48-57 Rating 1508
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
53-50 Rating 1527
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 345 404
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.9
Last meeting 6 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 105 103
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.8
Win percentage 46% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 45%